Ternana Calcio vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACL
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
FOL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
TER
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TER
1 - 0
FCV
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEO
85%
12%
3%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 2
REG
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 0
ACL
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +2 |