Ternana Calcio vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
TER
74%
19%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 2
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUS
1 - 2
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |