Ternana Calcio vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
NOV
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
TER
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
EMP
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 2
LIV
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 6
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAS
3 - 2
SPE
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SPE
4 - 3
ASC
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |