Ternana Calcio vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 1
TER
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
PES
44%
31%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
TER
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 1
TER
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
PES
1 - 0
ASS
57%
27%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
48%
31%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 0
ASS
38%
35%
27%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |