Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
2 - 2
TER
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 1
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
TER
2 - 0
LEC
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TER
1 - 0
VIC
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CES
1 - 1
ALZ
78%
16%
7%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
EMP
2 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 1
CES
19%
26%
55%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |