Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
TRE
1 - 1
TER
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
TER
1 - 2
BRE
23%
26%
52%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
TER
0 - 1
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
USC
1 - 1
TER
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CES
0 - 1
TOR
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CES
1 - 1
FIA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
VER
1 - 0
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CES
2 - 0
REG
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |