Ternana Calcio vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
4 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 4
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
SAL
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
VER
5 - 3
ARZ
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASC
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 4
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CAT
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |