Surkhon Termez vs Andijon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
7º
40
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TER
1 - 3
OLM
28%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AKT
3 - 0
TER
48%
24%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
3 - 0
TER
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TER
1 - 3
SMY
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DMK
0 - 0
TER
34%
25%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Andijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 1
AND
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 0
AND
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 0
AND
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
FAK
4 - 1
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
FKT
4 - 0
AND
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |