Akhmat Grozny vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
TER
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TER
0 - 1
CSK
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCR
0 - 0
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TER
0 - 1
UFA
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 1
TER
19%
26%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOM
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
ARS
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ZEN
2 - 0
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
URA
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GAZ
3 - 0
ARS
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |