Akhmat Grozny vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
CSK
1 - 0
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
FCR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
TER
4 - 0
PER
49%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
BOC
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 2
DIN
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
FCR
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 2
LOK
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 4
ZEN
20%
21%
59%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 1
DIN
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |