Akhmat Grozny vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
16º
14º
35
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
TER
0 - 2
CSK
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TER
3 - 3
KHI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 0
TER
24%
29%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
TER
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
TER
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 1
ZEN
16%
22%
61%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
4 - 0
AKT
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 2
FCR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 2
AKT
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
AKT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |