Tërbuni Pukë vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+140%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
13º
37
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 0
TER
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TER
2 - 1
KOR
30%
29%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
TER
3 - 2
LUS
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
APO
31%
29%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BES
1 - 0
LUS
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BES
0 - 0
LUZ
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 4
BES
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 0
BES
57%
25%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BES
1 - 1
KOR
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |