Tepatitlán FC vs UA Chihuahua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAC
3 - 1
TEM
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
TEM
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
TEM
0 - 0
TIG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CSL
3 - 2
TEM
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TEM
1 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
GAV
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
REY
4 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -3 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
LOR
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |