Tepatitlán FC vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REB
0 - 0
TEM
21%
23%
55%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 1
TEP
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
TEM
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TEM
4 - 1
PAC
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TEM
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
ZAM
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
SOL
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
AEM
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |