Tepatitlán FC vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
TEM
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TEM
3 - 1
CAC
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TEM
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
TEM
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
TEM
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
RCU
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UAP
4 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IRA
2 - 2
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |