Tepatitlán FC vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NEX
0 - 2
TEM
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 5
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 1
TEM
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
3 - 2
TEM
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 2
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 2
CAZ
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NEX
3 - 1
ZAM
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 3
SOL
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
ZAM
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
AEM
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |