Tepatitlán FC vs Real Cuautitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 4
TEM
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
LEO
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 2
TEM
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TEM
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RCU
1 - 0
GUA
21%
22%
56%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
UAP
0 - 0
RCU
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RCU
1 - 1
AEM
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
RCU
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RCU
3 - 2
IRA
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |