Tepatitlán FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 1
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
TEM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 0
SPT
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
UDG
2 - 1
TEM
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 0
CDT
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDG
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOR
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
TAM
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
MOR
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
DOR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |