Tepatitlán FC vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
UAT
2 - 0
TEM
41%
25%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
TEM
2 - 0
ALE
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
TAM
0 - 0
TEM
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
TEM
2 - 2
MOR
25%
25%
51%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CSI
0 - 5
TEM
8%
19%
73%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
MER
1 - 2
DOR
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
TAM
1 - 1
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
CDT
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
CAF
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
TAM
1 - 0
MER
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |