Tepatitlán FC vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
REY
4 - 0
TEM
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TEM
3 - 0
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
TEM
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TEM
1 - 1
LOR
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 0
TEM
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
GAV
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GAV
3 - 2
REY
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 1
GAV
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LOR
4 - 0
GAV
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |