Tepatitlán FC vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ZAC
1 - 1
TEM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 2
RYD
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
UDG
3 - 0
TEM
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 0
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 2
TEM
35%
28%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
UAT
5 - 3
DUR
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
0 - 0
CAP
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CDT
3 - 1
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAZ
2 - 4
DUR
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |