Tepatitlán FC vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PAC
1 - 2
TEM
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TEM
3 - 3
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GAV
1 - 3
TEM
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TEM
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 1
TEM
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DUR
2 - 0
NEX
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CSI
1 - 1
DUR
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DUR
3 - 2
MUR
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
REY
1 - 1
DUR
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 2
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |