Tepatitlán FC vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
TEM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
TEM
3 - 2
TIJ
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TEM
2 - 1
IRA
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
IRA
1 - 0
TEM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
TEM
0 - 0
REB
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
16%
21%
62%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
REY
1 - 0
DUR
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
4 - 0
DUR
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 2
EST
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LOR
5 - 0
DUR
80%
13%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |