Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Tepatitlán FC vs Deportivo Tepic JAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
TEP
0 - 0
TEM
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TEM
2 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
TEM
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TEM
4 - 0
PAC
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TIG
2 - 2
TEM
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
TEP
0 - 0
TEM
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TEP
0 - 0
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 4
TEP
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TEP
1 - 1
TIG
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CSL
0 - 4
TEP
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |