Tepatitlán FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 0
QUE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 4
PAC
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 3
UAP
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 2
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 1
RCU
78%
14%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 1
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |