Tepatitlán FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
TEM
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TEM
3 - 2
CDT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
TIA
2 - 1
TEM
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 2
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 1
TEM
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 1
UAT
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPT
0 - 1
CIM
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CIM
5 - 0
DUR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
CDT
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
CIM
50%
28%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |