Tepatitlán FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 0
TEM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 1
RYD
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TIA
0 - 0
TEM
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 2
CFC
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
CIM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 1
SPT
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 2
CIM
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
CIM
1 - 2
RYD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIM
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |