Tepatitlán FC vs CD Tapatío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TEM
1 - 1
ZAC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 2
TEM
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TEM
1 - 1
TAM
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 5
TEM
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
1 - 1
DOR
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 3
CDT
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
CFC
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 2
MER
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |