Tepatitlán FC vs Cachorros U. De G. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TEM
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
TEM
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
TEM
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
TEM
15%
21%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AEM
3 - 2
TEM
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cachorros U. De G.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAC
3 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAC
4 - 0
RCU
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UAP
0 - 0
CAC
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAC
0 - 3
LEO
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IRA
4 - 0
CAC
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |