Tempête vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tempête
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
TEM
30%
33%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 0
AME
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 0
DON
61%
25%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
TEM
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 1
FIC
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
FIC
34%
30%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
VIO
3 - 0
CAP
45%
29%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 2
BAL
44%
31%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 1
CAP
39%
32%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 2
AIG
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |