Temperley vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
TEM
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 0
FLA
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
TEM
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TEM
1 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
TEM
0 - 1
ARM
54%
26%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 5
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 3
ITA
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |