Temperley vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
FLA
0 - 1
TEM
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
TEM
4 - 0
ALB
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
SUA
0 - 0
TEM
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
TEM
1 - 0
LAF
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TEM
0 - 1
BRO
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 2
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 3
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
FER
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |