Telfs vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
5º
23
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
STJ
4 - 1
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
TEL
0 - 4
IAC
71%
17%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
WAT
2 - 2
TEL
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TEL
1 - 2
KUN
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 2
WIN
9%
16%
74%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
WOR
0 - 3
WIN
5%
13%
82%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 1
WOR
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
WOR
4 - 0
MOT
24%
19%
57%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KEM
2 - 0
WOR
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
WOR
1 - 3
SCM
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |