Telfs vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
9º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 0
KUN
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
TEL
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 2
IAC
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
TEL
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TEL
4 - 2
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
3 - 3
VOL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IAC
1 - 3
WOR
33%
20%
47%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 3
WAT
33%
23%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
WOR
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
ROS
6 - 0
WOR
11%
17%
73%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |