Telfs vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
5º
22
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
VOL
7 - 0
TEL
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 0
EBB
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FUG
2 - 2
TEL
53%
21%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 1
WOR
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
STJ
4 - 1
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SCM
0 - 2
WIN
4%
12%
84%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 2
SCM
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SCM
2 - 1
MOT
13%
15%
72%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KEM
1 - 0
SCM
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
KUN
2 - 2
SCM
72%
16%
11%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |