Portela Teixeira de Freitas vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
53.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portela Teixeira de Freitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
BAH
7 - 0
TDF
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
TDF
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TDF
0 - 3
COL
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 0
TDF
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TDF
0 - 3
JEQ
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 3
ADL
4%
9%
87%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 0
COL
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
5 - 0
FEI
34%
23%
44%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
SSA
1 - 2
GRA
20%
20%
61%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |