Tefana vs Manu Ura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TEF
3 - 0
VEN
59%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
0 - 8
TEF
47%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TEF
4 - 0
AOR
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
TEF
2 - 3
HEK
66%
17%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -8 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
TEF
1 - 1
TAF
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DRA
4 - 1
MAN
41%
21%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PIR
4 - 3
MAN
61%
18%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
RON
1 - 3
MAN
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
RON
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 4
TEF
24%
21%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |