Teculután vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Teculután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
3 - 1
TEC
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
TEC
2 - 3
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANT
4 - 1
TEC
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TEC
3 - 3
COB
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACH
5 - 0
TEC
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
UNI
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAY
3 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
AMA
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |