Winterthur U18 vs FC Thun U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
6º
6º
22
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TWC
3 - 1
FCZ
28%
21%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STG
0 - 3
TWC
52%
20%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BYB
2 - 2
TWC
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TWC
3 - 4
NXA
73%
14%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
2 - 2
TWC
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NXA
4 - 0
FCT
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 1
TAA
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FLK
1 - 1
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
TTI
19%
19%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
FCT
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |