Winterthur U18 vs FC Basel U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
61.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
6º
6º
58
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 1
TWC
10%
15%
75%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TWC
1 - 2
STG
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
2 - 1
TWC
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TWC
2 - 2
BYB
16%
17%
67%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NXA
1 - 1
TWC
8%
13%
79%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 3
BYB
35%
21%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FLK
3 - 4
FCB
17%
17%
66%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
9 - 1
TAA
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
TTI
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCB
7%
12%
81%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |