Team Wellington vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 4
TEA
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 1
AUC
43%
25%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAI
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |