Team Vaud U18 vs FC Basel U18 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
82%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
12º
13º
55
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Vaud U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 3
TVA
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TVA
0 - 2
FCL
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TVA
1 - 2
FCV
37%
21%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAP
3 - 2
TVA
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TVA
0 - 1
FCZ
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel U18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 3
FCS
68%
17%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
3 - 4
FCB
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 5
FCB
34%
21%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 1
FCL
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 5
FCB
11%
16%
74%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |