Team Vaud U16 vs Team Aargau U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
12º
5º
20
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Vaud U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TMV
6 - 0
TTC
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
TMV
8%
13%
80%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 0
SFC
36%
21%
43%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 3
TMV
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TMV
1 - 2
FCB
20%
18%
62%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 4
FCZ
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WNT
6 - 3
TMA
71%
15%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 4
FCB
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NXA
1 - 0
TMA
31%
20%
49%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
0 - 4
STG
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |