Team Vaud U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
12º
5º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Vaud U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STG
3 - 5
TMV
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 3
TMV
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 1
WNT
61%
19%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 1
TMV
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TMV
4 - 3
NXA
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 7
FCZ
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WNT
3 - 0
FCT
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 4
YNB
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NXA
1 - 1
FCT
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 3
TMA
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |