Team Vaud U16 vs FC Basel U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
62%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
12º
5º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Vaud U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 1
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STG
3 - 5
TMV
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 3
TMV
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 1
WNT
61%
19%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 1
TMV
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCZ
2 - 1
FCB
34%
20%
46%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WNT
1 - 5
FCB
12%
15%
73%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 3
FCB
28%
20%
52%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 0
NXA
94%
5%
2%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
LUZ
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |