Team Ticino U18 vs FC Thun U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
6º
4º
2
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 7 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 6 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
2 | 2 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Ticino U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
STG
5 - 1
TTI
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TTI
1 - 2
NXA
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 3
TTI
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TTI
3 - 1
FCS
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TTI
0 - 3
TAA
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 2
FCS
22%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
STG
4 - 1
FCT
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BYB
7 - 0
FCT
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
LSS
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
FCT
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |