Team Ticino U16 vs FC Luzern U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
60.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
12º
12º
46
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Ticino U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TTC
2 - 0
STG
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 3
TTC
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TTC
4 - 6
SFC
9%
14%
76%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
TTC
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TTC
1 - 4
FCB
5%
10%
85%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 0
FCS
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 2
TMA
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 1
LUZ
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 3
GRA
22%
20%
57%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
LUZ
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |