Team Ticino U15 vs FC Aarau U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+150%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
2º
6
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Ticino U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZOB
2 - 10
TTI
5%
11%
84%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TTI
2 - 2
FCZ
61%
19%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TTI
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 3
TTI
62%
18%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TTI
0 - 1
CON
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aarau U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
6%
12%
83%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STG
5 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KRI
5 - 2
FCA
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
2 - 1
FCA
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
5 - 3
FCZ
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +2 |