Team Helm vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Helm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 48
THJ
8%
13%
79%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
TIN
2 - 1
THJ
89%
8%
4%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
THJ
1 - 4
RAK
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 7
THJ
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
JOK
5 - 3
THJ
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAA
6 - 0
AJA
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
FCT
30%
20%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AJA
7 - 0
WAR
90%
7%
4%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KJA
0 - 2
AJA
20%
17%
63%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 3
AJA
9%
12%
79%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |