Aarau U18 vs FC Thun U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 0
TAA
33%
25%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TAA
2 - 2
TWC
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 0
TAA
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TAA
4 - 0
FLK
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TAA
5 - 4
FCZ
37%
24%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
4 - 1
TBJ
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TTI
1 - 1
FCT
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
5 - 4
FCT
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
FCT
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 1
TWC
18%
20%
63%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |